Paris FC vs Martigues Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paris FC v Martigues — Team-Based Signals
Paris FC 1-2 Martigues — Actual Match Statistics
Martigues edged past Paris FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Paris FC at 68% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Paris FC had 68% of the ball to Martigues's 32%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 2.54 to 1.20 — the balance of chances actually favoured Paris FC.
What was the final score of Paris FC vs Martigues?
Paris FC 1-2 Martigues in the France - Ligue 2 on 03/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Martigues?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 68%, draw 19%, Martigues 13%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Paris FC), BTTS No went the other way.