Stade Lavallois 0-1 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.98
6+ Goals
10%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.18
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
14%
4.03
X/2
8%
9.93
X/X
11%
4.55
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
10%
8.62
2/X
9%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.8pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.57/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.65
-27% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
27.1 Crosses 14.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Martigues
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
2.83 xG 0.44
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 7
355 Passes 442
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
28 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2024 Martigues Martigues 0-3 HT 0-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
26.03.2002 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 0-1 Martigues Martigues FR2
13.11.2001 Martigues Martigues 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
03.03.2001 Martigues Martigues 1-3 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
30.09.2000 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-0 HT 0-0 Martigues Martigues FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
0-1
AWAY Martigues
1.37 xG 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
359 Passes 357
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Martigues edged past Stade Lavallois 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stade Lavallois at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 50% of the ball to Martigues's 50%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.37 to 0.67 — on chances, Stade Lavallois could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stade Lavallois had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stade Lavallois and 0.40 for Martigues.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Martigues?

Stade Lavallois 0-1 Martigues in the France - Ligue 2 on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 53%, draw 25%, Martigues 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stade Lavallois) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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