Martigues 0-3 Stade Lavallois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.55
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
18%
6.99
X/2
12%
4.46
X/X
16%
4.16
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.95
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Martigues EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 49%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.80/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/0.81
-77% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
11.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.0
16.0 Crosses 25.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Martigues
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Stade Lavallois
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
26.03.2002 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-1 HT 0-1 Martigues Martigues FR2
13.11.2001 Martigues Martigues 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
03.03.2001 Martigues Martigues 1-3 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
30.09.2000 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 2-0 HT 0-0 Martigues Martigues FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Martigues
0-3
AWAY Stade Lavallois
0.44 xG 2.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 11
442 Passes 355
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 28
25 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Martigues vs Stade Lavallois
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois swept aside Martigues 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Stade Lavallois made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Martigues had 55% of the ball to Stade Lavallois's 45%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.44 to 2.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Stade Lavallois led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Martigues and 1.75 for Stade Lavallois.

What was the final score of Martigues vs Stade Lavallois?

Martigues 0-3 Stade Lavallois in the France - Ligue 2 on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Martigues vs Stade Lavallois?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Martigues 31%, draw 30%, Stade Lavallois 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Lavallois), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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