Clermont 1-1 Metz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.95
1/2
9%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
9%
6.48
X/2
16%
4.84
X/X
14%
3.99
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.27
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Metz EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.14/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.71
+49% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +44%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 81%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
16.4 Crosses 16.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Metz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
471 Passes 278
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2024 Metz Metz 1-0 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
05.01.2024 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FRK
27.08.2023 Clermont Clermont 0-1 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR1
17.04.2022 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 1-1 Clermont Clermont FR1
29.08.2021 Clermont Clermont 2-2 HT 1-2 Metz Metz FR1
18.01.2019 Metz Metz 1-2 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
1-1
AWAY Metz
1.34 xG 1.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
386 Passes 439
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Metz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont and Metz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Metz at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Clermont had 48% of the ball to Metz's 52%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.34 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metz led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Clermont and 1.17 for Metz.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Metz?

Clermont 1-1 Metz in the France - Ligue 2 on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Metz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Clermont 31%, draw 28%, Metz 41%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Metz) ✗ BTTS No
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