Metz 1-1 Clermont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 5 Jan 2024

Metz
1-1 HT 1-0
Clermont
📅05/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Cup – 2023/2024

Metz vs Clermont Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
5.11
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.38
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
8%
5.55
X/2
10%
4.89
X/X
15%
3.73
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
20%
3.67
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.8pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Metz v Clermont — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metz EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Clermont EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.46/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -31%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 81%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
42.0 Crosses 9.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Metz vs Clermont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metz
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Clermont
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.86 xG 1.31
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
331 Passes 394
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Clermont Clermont 0-1 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR1
17.04.2022 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 1-1 Clermont Clermont FR1
29.08.2021 Clermont Clermont 2-2 HT 1-2 Metz Metz FR1
18.01.2019 Metz Metz 1-2 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FR2
11.08.2018 Clermont Clermont 2-3 HT 1-0 Metz Metz FR2
07.03.2016 Clermont Clermont 2-1 HT 1-1 Metz Metz FR2

Metz 1-1 Clermont — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metz
1-1
AWAY Clermont
0.87 xG 0.86
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
256 Passes 634
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 21
POST-MATCH Metz vs Clermont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metz and Clermont shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Metz had 33% of the ball to Clermont's 67%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.87 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Metz and 1.50 for Clermont.

What was the final score of Metz vs Clermont?

Metz 1-1 Clermont in the France - Cup on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metz vs Clermont?

Before kick-off our model rated an Clermont win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Metz 32%, draw 31%, Clermont 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Clermont), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Clermont) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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