Pau vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pau v Nantes — Team-Based Signals
Pau 1-4 Nantes — Actual Match Statistics
Nantes cruised past Pau 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Nantes as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Pau had 33% of the ball to Nantes's 67%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 0.72 to 2.41.
What was the final score of Pau vs Nantes?
Pau 1-4 Nantes in the France - Cup on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pau vs Nantes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nantes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pau 26%, draw 32%, Nantes 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nantes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.