Sarreguemines 0-2 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 5 Jan 2024

📅05/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.91
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
9%
9.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
53%
Away Win
61%
-7.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarreguemines EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarreguemines
0-2
AWAY Valenciennes
0.63 xG 1.20
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
158 Passes 308
59% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sarreguemines vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valenciennes saw off Sarreguemines 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valenciennes as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sarreguemines had 39% of the ball to Valenciennes's 61%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.63 to 1.20.

What was the final score of Sarreguemines vs Valenciennes?

Sarreguemines 0-2 Valenciennes in the France - Cup on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarreguemines vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valenciennes win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sarreguemines 20%, draw 26%, Valenciennes 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valenciennes), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valenciennes) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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