Challans 0-4 Rodez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 5 Jan 2024

Challans
0-4 HT 0-2
Rodez
📅05/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
France - Cup – 2025/2026

Challans vs Rodez Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
7.95
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
56%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.61
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.29
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
48%
1.95
4-5 Goals
23%
2.57
6+ Goals
11%
6.11
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.95 — our 48% vs market 43.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
37%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
10%
+16.2pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.8pp
56%
Away Win
74%
-18.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Challans v Rodez — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Challans EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Rodez EU Bookmakers 79%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +136%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 507 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.3
POST-MATCH Challans vs Rodez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez cruised past Challans 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rodez as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Challans vs Rodez?

Challans 0-4 Rodez in the France - Cup on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Challans vs Rodez?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Challans 26%, draw 18%, Rodez 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rodez), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rodez) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FRK More France - Cup
5 Jan 2024
20:00 Pau vs Nantes Analysis →
20:00 Sarreguemines vs Valenciennes Analysis →
20:00 Chambly vs Racing Paris Analysis →
20:00 Feignies-Aulnoye vs Quevilly Analysis →
22:45 Metz vs Clermont Analysis →