Chambly vs Racing Paris Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chambly v Racing Paris — Team-Based Signals
Chambly 1-2 Racing Paris — Actual Match Statistics
Racing Paris squeezed past Chambly 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Chambly at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Chambly had 46% of the ball to Racing Paris's 54%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 0.57 to 4.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Racing Paris's control.
What was the final score of Chambly vs Racing Paris?
Chambly 1-2 Racing Paris in the France - Cup on 05/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chambly vs Racing Paris?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chambly win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chambly 41%, draw 27%, Racing Paris 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.