Metz 1-0 Clermont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.38
6+ Goals
10%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 33% vs market 31.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.02
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
16%
4.52
X/2
12%
6.7
X/X
11%
4.06
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
7%
5.26
2/X
10%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metz EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Clermont EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.04/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.49
+5% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
21.6 Crosses 16.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metz
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Clermont
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.86 xG 1.22
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
318 Passes 434
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.01.2024 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FRK
27.08.2023 Clermont Clermont 0-1 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR1
17.04.2022 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 1-1 Clermont Clermont FR1
29.08.2021 Clermont Clermont 2-2 HT 1-2 Metz Metz FR1
18.01.2019 Metz Metz 1-2 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FR2
11.08.2018 Clermont Clermont 2-3 HT 1-0 Metz Metz FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metz
1-0
AWAY Clermont
1.68 xG 0.83
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
195 Passes 479
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Metz vs Clermont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metz edged past Clermont 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Metz as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Metz had 34% of the ball to Clermont's 66%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.68 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metz had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Metz and 1.33 for Clermont.

What was the final score of Metz vs Clermont?

Metz 1-0 Clermont in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metz vs Clermont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metz win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Metz 48%, draw 26%, Clermont 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Metz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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