PSG 2-2 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 10 Mar 2024

PSG
2-2 HT 2-2
Reims
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

PSG vs Reims Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.84
6+ Goals
13%
7.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.84
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.35
X/1
15%
3.83
X/2
8%
12.1
X/X
10%
6.52
2/1
7%
20.6
2/2
11%
8.79
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
16.85
Value flag · 2/X at 16.85 — our 9% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSG v Reims — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +19%
1.92/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.45
+17% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
434 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
15.5 Crosses 13.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

PSG vs Reims Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Reims
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.12 xG 1.19
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
610 Passes 327
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
35 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Reims Reims 0-3 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
29.01.2023 PSG PSG 1-1 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
08.10.2022 Reims Reims 0-0 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
23.01.2022 PSG PSG 4-0 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR1
29.08.2021 Reims Reims 0-2 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
16.05.2021 PSG PSG 4-0 HT 2-0 Reims Reims FR1

PSG 2-2 Reims — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
2-2
AWAY Reims
1.26 xG 1.26
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
518 Passes 258
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
42 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PSG vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG and Reims couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was PSG at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, PSG had 64% of the ball to Reims's 36%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.26 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for PSG and 0.17 for Reims.

What was the final score of PSG vs Reims?

PSG 2-2 Reims in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split PSG 52%, draw 24%, Reims 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSG) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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