Le Havre vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Le Havre v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals
Le Havre vs Toulouse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Le Havre
FR1
4-0
HT 2-0
Le Havre
FR2
1-1
HT 0-1
Toulouse
FR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Toulouse
FR2
4-3
HT 3-1
Le Havre
FR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Toulouse
FR1
Le Havre 1-0 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics
Le Havre edged past Toulouse 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Le Havre as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Le Havre had 50% of the ball to Toulouse's 50%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.01 to 0.27.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toulouse led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Le Havre and 2.00 for Toulouse.
What was the final score of Le Havre vs Toulouse?
Le Havre 1-0 Toulouse in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Toulouse?
Before kick-off our model rated a Le Havre win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 41%, draw 25%, Toulouse 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Havre), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.