Lille vs Rennes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lille v Rennes — Team-Based Signals
Lille vs Rennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Lille
FR1
1-3
HT 1-0
Lille
FR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Rennes
FR1
2-2
HT 1-1
Rennes
FR1
1-2
HT 0-2
Lille
FR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Lille
FR1
Lille 2-2 Rennes — Actual Match Statistics
Lille and Rennes couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Lille at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Lille had 60% of the ball to Rennes's 40%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.35 to 1.09.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lille and 1.17 for Rennes.
What was the final score of Lille vs Rennes?
Lille 2-2 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lille vs Rennes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lille 48%, draw 28%, Rennes 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.