Pau 4-1 Red Star FC 93 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.19
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 33% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.58
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
15%
4.3
X/2
13%
8.01
X/X
15%
4.66
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
14%
6.16
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pau EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -20%
1.70/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.37
+7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.1 Crosses 17.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pau
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Red Star FC 93
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.02.2020 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 1-2 HT 1-0 Pau Pau FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pau
4-1
AWAY Red Star FC 93
2.44 xG 0.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
453 Passes 304
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pau vs Red Star FC 93
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pau swept aside Red Star FC 93 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Pau made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pau had 58% of the ball to Red Star FC 93's 42%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.44 to 0.54.

What was the final score of Pau vs Red Star FC 93?

Pau 4-1 Red Star FC 93 in the France - Ligue 2 on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pau vs Red Star FC 93?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pau 40%, draw 28%, Red Star FC 93 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pau) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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