Caen 3-3 Rodez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 22 Nov 2024

Caen
3-3 HT 1-2
Rodez
📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Caen vs Rodez Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
19%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 30% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.29
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
17%
5.35
X/2 EV+ ✗
21%
6.2
X/X
11%
5.06
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
10%
4.04
2/X
7%
12.95
Value flag · X/2 at 6.2 — our 21% vs market 12.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.7pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caen v Rodez — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rodez EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.33/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.01
+13% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
21.5 Crosses 21.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Caen vs Rodez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caen
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Rodez
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.29 xG 1.51
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
395 Passes 294
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Caen Caen 1-0 HT 1-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
07.10.2023 Rodez Rodez 5-3 HT 2-3 Caen Caen FR2
11.03.2023 Rodez Rodez 3-2 HT 2-1 Caen Caen FR2
22.10.2022 Caen Caen 2-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
14.05.2022 Rodez Rodez 2-0 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2
24.07.2021 Caen Caen 4-0 HT 3-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
POST-MATCH Caen vs Rodez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caen and Rodez shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Caen and 1.67 for Rodez.

What was the final score of Caen vs Rodez?

Caen 3-3 Rodez in the France - Ligue 2 on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caen vs Rodez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Caen 40%, draw 25%, Rodez 35%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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