Troyes 2-0 Bastia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 28 Feb 2025

Troyes
2-0 HT 1-0
Bastia
📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Troyes vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.41
Over 2.5
40%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
6.22
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.63
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.35
X/1
8%
5.75
X/2
12%
5.27
X/X
14%
3.22
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.05
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
33%
-3.5pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
67%
-7.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
33%
+7.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Troyes v Bastia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Troyes EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bastia EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.40/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.25
+33% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
15.6 Crosses 17.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Troyes vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Troyes
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bastia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 1.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 Passes 309
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.09.2024 Bastia Bastia 0-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
09.03.2024 Troyes Troyes 2-0 HT 1-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
26.08.2023 Bastia Bastia 3-2 HT 0-2 Troyes Troyes FR2
06.02.2016 Bastia Bastia 2-0 HT 1-0 Troyes Troyes FR1
12.12.2015 Troyes Troyes 1-1 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR1
23.02.2013 Troyes Troyes 0-0 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR1

Troyes 2-0 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Troyes
2-0
AWAY Bastia
1.51 xG 0.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
369 Passes 379
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Troyes vs Bastia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Troyes got the better of Bastia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Troyes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Troyes had 49% of the ball to Bastia's 51%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.51 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Troyes and 1.00 for Bastia.

What was the final score of Troyes vs Bastia?

Troyes 2-0 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Troyes vs Bastia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Troyes 33%, draw 29%, Bastia 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bastia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bastia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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