Bastia 0-0 Troyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.42
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.1
X/1
23%
3.92
X/2
8%
8.51
X/X
11%
4.36
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
12%
7.12
2/X
8%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bastia EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Troyes EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.59/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.63
-3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
22.0 Crosses 13.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bastia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Troyes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.00 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 Passes 370
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Troyes Troyes 2-0 HT 1-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
26.08.2023 Bastia Bastia 3-2 HT 0-2 Troyes Troyes FR2
06.02.2016 Bastia Bastia 2-0 HT 1-0 Troyes Troyes FR1
12.12.2015 Troyes Troyes 1-1 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR1
23.02.2013 Troyes Troyes 0-0 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR1
06.10.2012 Bastia Bastia 3-2 HT 2-1 Troyes Troyes FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bastia
0-0
AWAY Troyes
1.30 xG 0.72
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
371 Passes 190
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bastia vs Troyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bastia and Troyes played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bastia at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bastia had 63% of the ball to Troyes's 37%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.30 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bastia and 1.17 for Troyes.

What was the final score of Bastia vs Troyes?

Bastia 0-0 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bastia vs Troyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bastia 48%, draw 26%, Troyes 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bastia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bastia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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