Rodez 1-2 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Sep 2024

Rodez
1-2 HT 0-1
Guingamp
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Rodez vs Guingamp Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.04
1/2
10%
28.0
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
10%
6.58
X/2
15%
4.57
X/X
11%
4.26
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.03
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rodez v Guingamp — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +23%
1.14/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.13
+8% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.9 Crosses 17.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Rodez vs Guingamp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Guingamp
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
303 Passes 340
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.01.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 3-3 HT 3-3 Rodez Rodez FR2
11.11.2023 Rodez Rodez 0-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
28.01.2023 Rodez Rodez 0-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
04.10.2022 Guingamp Guingamp 0-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
15.03.2022 Rodez Rodez 1-1 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
02.10.2021 Guingamp Guingamp 2-1 HT 1-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp edged past Rodez 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rodez and 1.17 for Guingamp.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Guingamp?

Rodez 1-2 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rodez 31%, draw 27%, Guingamp 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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