Clermont 0-1 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
19.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 37% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.58
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
20%
4.28
X/2
10%
8.12
X/X
12%
4.19
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
11%
6.44
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.6pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +21%
1.60/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.30
+6% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.4 Crosses 14.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Dunkerque
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.73 xG 0.62
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
586 Passes 250
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
16.01.2021 Clermont Clermont 5-0 HT 2-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
29.08.2020 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-1 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
0-1
AWAY Dunkerque
1.42 xG 1.32
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
392 Passes 335
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque nicked a narrow win over Clermont 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Clermont at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Clermont had 54% of the ball to Dunkerque's 46%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.42 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Clermont had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Clermont and 0.50 for Dunkerque.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Dunkerque?

Clermont 0-1 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Clermont win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Clermont 46%, draw 26%, Dunkerque 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Clermont) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Clermont) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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