Pau 3-0 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.9
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.03
6+ Goals
10%
18.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.09
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
13%
4.78
X/2
15%
6.71
X/X
10%
4.11
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
12%
5.01
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pau EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.59/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.76
+17% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pau
3-0
AWAY Martigues
1.45 xG 0.26
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
348 Passes 287
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pau vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pau swept aside Martigues 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pau as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Pau had 54% of the ball to Martigues's 46%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.45 to 0.26.

What was the final score of Pau vs Martigues?

Pau 3-0 Martigues in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pau vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pau 41%, draw 26%, Martigues 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pau), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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