Stade Lavallois 1-1 Ajaccio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Sep 2024

Stade Lavallois
1-1 HT 1-1
Ajaccio
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Stade Lavallois vs Ajaccio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
16%
6.71
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.68
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.95
X/1
14%
4.68
X/2
9%
5.86
X/X
13%
3.25
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
5.02
2/X
9%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.4pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stade Lavallois v Ajaccio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -24%
1.25/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.14
-13% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
23.4 Crosses 15.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Stade Lavallois vs Ajaccio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ajaccio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.40 xG 1.10
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
320 Passes 309
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 1-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
05.12.2023 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
07.07.2021 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 Ajaccio Ajaccio HAZ
31.03.2017 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 1-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
28.10.2016 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-3 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
05.02.2016 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2

Stade Lavallois 1-1 Ajaccio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Lavallois
1-1
AWAY Ajaccio
1.35 xG 0.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 Passes 370
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 15
31 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Ajaccio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois and Ajaccio shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Stade Lavallois had 47% of the ball to Ajaccio's 53%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.35 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajaccio led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.17 for Ajaccio.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Ajaccio?

Stade Lavallois 1-1 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Ajaccio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 37%, draw 30%, Ajaccio 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stade Lavallois), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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