Stade Lavallois 1-1 Ajaccio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 17 Feb 2024

Stade Lavallois
1-1 HT 1-0
Ajaccio
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Stade Lavallois vs Ajaccio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.66
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.25
Over 2.5
38%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.75
No
54%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.59
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
18%
10.3
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.7
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
11%
17.5
X/1
12%
4.28
X/2
16%
5.95
X/X
9%
2.75
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
10%
5.75
2/X
12%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.5pp
32%
Draw
34%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
76%
-14.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
24%
+14.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+14.1pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stade Lavallois v Ajaccio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.23/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.10
-3% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
21.1 Crosses 15.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Stade Lavallois vs Ajaccio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ajaccio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.16 xG 1.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
316 Passes 271
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.12.2023 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
07.07.2021 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 Ajaccio Ajaccio HAZ
31.03.2017 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-1 HT 1-1 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
28.10.2016 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-3 HT 1-1 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
05.02.2016 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
18.09.2015 Ajaccio Ajaccio 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Ajaccio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois and Ajaccio shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajaccio led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stade Lavallois and 1.00 for Ajaccio.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Ajaccio?

Stade Lavallois 1-1 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Ajaccio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 36%, draw 32%, Ajaccio 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stade Lavallois), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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