Troyes 3-1 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.01
6+ Goals
11%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.1
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
10%
5.66
X/2
13%
5.08
X/X
15%
4.18
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
16%
3.52
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.4pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.9pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Troyes EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble EU Bookmakers 42%
+17% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
1.12/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.15
+43% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
15.9 Crosses 16.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Troyes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Grenoble
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 0.99
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
324 Passes 310
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 0-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
24.04.2021 Troyes Troyes 3-1 HT 2-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
22.12.2020 Grenoble Grenoble 2-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
31.01.2020 Troyes Troyes 1-2 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
16.08.2019 Grenoble Grenoble 1-1 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
29.03.2019 Troyes Troyes 2-1 HT 1-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Troyes
3-1
AWAY Grenoble
1.76 xG 1.62
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
236 Passes 456
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Troyes vs Grenoble
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Troyes beat Grenoble 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 33% / 38% — and on the day Troyes made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Troyes had 38% of the ball to Grenoble's 62%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.76 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Troyes and 1.17 for Grenoble.

What was the final score of Troyes vs Grenoble?

Troyes 3-1 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Troyes vs Grenoble?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grenoble win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Troyes 30%, draw 33%, Grenoble 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grenoble) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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