Pau 0-2 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 17 Feb 2024

Pau
0-2 HT 0-2
Quevilly
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Pau vs Quevilly Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.86
2-3 Goals
35%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.97
6+ Goals
13%
18.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.97 — our 24% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.89
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
11%
5.52
X/2
11%
5.35
X/X
15%
4.12
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
20%
3.72
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pau v Quevilly — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pau EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.42/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.90
+9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 75%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
18.2 Crosses 20.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Pau vs Quevilly Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pau
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Quevilly
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.48 xG 1.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
340 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Quevilly Quevilly 2-2 HT 1-1 Pau Pau FR2
06.05.2023 Pau Pau 3-4 HT 1-1 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
27.08.2022 Quevilly Quevilly 2-1 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
30.04.2022 Quevilly Quevilly 1-2 HT 1-0 Pau Pau FR2
11.12.2021 Pau Pau 1-2 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
24.01.2020 Quevilly Quevilly 0-0 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR3

Pau 0-2 Quevilly — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pau
0-2
AWAY Quevilly
1.10 xG 1.41
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
562 Passes 222
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 13
46 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pau vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quevilly beat Pau 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Quevilly found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Pau had 68% of the ball to Quevilly's 32%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.10 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Quevilly led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pau and 1.83 for Quevilly.

What was the final score of Pau vs Quevilly?

Pau 0-2 Quevilly in the France - Ligue 2 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pau vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Quevilly win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pau 33%, draw 30%, Quevilly 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quevilly), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Quevilly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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