Bastia 0-2 Rodez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 17 Feb 2024

Bastia
0-2 HT 0-1
Rodez
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Bastia vs Rodez Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.14
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
14%
4.68
X/2
11%
6.35
X/X
18%
4.02
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
11%
4.84
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.8pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bastia v Rodez — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bastia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rodez EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.16/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.11
-16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
19.3 Crosses 21.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Bastia vs Rodez Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bastia
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Rodez
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.73 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
314 Passes 276
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Rodez Rodez 1-1 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR2
25.02.2023 Rodez Rodez 0-2 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR2
27.08.2022 Bastia Bastia 0-2 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
07.05.2022 Bastia Bastia 0-1 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
21.12.2021 Rodez Rodez 0-0 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
POST-MATCH Bastia vs Rodez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez got the better of Bastia 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 34% / 29%) promised a tight game; Rodez found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rodez led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Bastia and 0.80 for Rodez.

What was the final score of Bastia vs Rodez?

Bastia 0-2 Rodez in the France - Ligue 2 on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bastia vs Rodez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bastia 37%, draw 34%, Rodez 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bastia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bastia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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