Lorient 2-1 Red Star FC 93 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 29% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.11
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
20%
4.01
X/2
8%
9.9
X/X
11%
5.45
2/1
10%
22.3
2/2
10%
7.42
2/X
9%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorient EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.52/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.28
-8% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.6 Crosses 14.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lorient
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Red Star FC 93
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.38 xG 0.24
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
404 Passes 458
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2019 Lorient Lorient 2-1 HT 2-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
14.09.2018 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 0-3 HT 0-2 Lorient Lorient FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lorient
2-1
AWAY Red Star FC 93
4.85 xG 0.57
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 3
417 Passes 350
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
34 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lorient vs Red Star FC 93
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient edged past Red Star FC 93 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lorient had 54% of the ball to Red Star FC 93's 46%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 4.85 to 0.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lorient's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lorient had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Lorient and 0.50 for Red Star FC 93.

What was the final score of Lorient vs Red Star FC 93?

Lorient 2-1 Red Star FC 93 in the France - Ligue 2 on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorient vs Red Star FC 93?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lorient 50%, draw 27%, Red Star FC 93 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lorient) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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