Guingamp 3-3 Rodez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Jan 2024

Guingamp
3-3 HT 3-3
Rodez
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Guingamp vs Rodez Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.42
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
23%
3.96
X/2
12%
8.47
X/X
13%
4.3
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
11%
7.02
2/X
9%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guingamp v Rodez — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Rodez EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.33/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.27
-15% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
20.9 Crosses 19.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Guingamp vs Rodez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Rodez
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.89 xG 0.82
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
342 Passes 306
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Rodez Rodez 0-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
28.01.2023 Rodez Rodez 0-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
04.10.2022 Guingamp Guingamp 0-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
15.03.2022 Rodez Rodez 1-1 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
02.10.2021 Guingamp Guingamp 2-1 HT 1-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
20.03.2021 Guingamp Guingamp 1-1 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Rodez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp and Rodez shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Guingamp at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guingamp and 0.50 for Rodez.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Rodez?

Guingamp 3-3 Rodez in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Rodez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 45%, draw 27%, Rodez 28%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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