Concarneau 1-0 Troyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Jan 2024

Concarneau
1-0 HT 0-0
Troyes
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Concarneau vs Troyes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.89
6+ Goals
11%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.23
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
14%
4.87
X/2
15%
6.17
X/X
15%
4.28
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
2/2
13%
4.51
2/X
6%
13.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Concarneau v Troyes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Troyes EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.49/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.42
+52% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
433 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
25.9 Crosses 15.2
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Concarneau vs Troyes Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Troyes
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.02 xG 1.23
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
485 Passes 340
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 13
41 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Troyes Troyes 0-0 HT 0-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR2

Concarneau 1-0 Troyes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concarneau
1-0
AWAY Troyes
0.49 xG 0.81
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
288 Passes 562
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
6 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Troyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concarneau nicked a narrow win over Troyes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Concarneau found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Concarneau had 37% of the ball to Troyes's 63%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.49 to 0.81.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Troyes?

Concarneau 1-0 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Troyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Concarneau win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 37%, draw 28%, Troyes 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Concarneau), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Concarneau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
23 Jan 2024
22:45 Guingamp vs Rodez Analysis →
22:45 Amiens SC vs Annecy Analysis →
22:45 Angers vs Quevilly Analysis →
22:45 Bastia vs Caen Analysis →
22:45 Stade Lavallois vs Paris FC Analysis →
22:45 Dunkerque vs Ajaccio Analysis →