Angers 3-2 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
4.32
6+ Goals
10%
22.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.96
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
18%
4.38
X/2
10%
6.62
X/X
14%
4.17
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
12%
5.24
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angers EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 31%
+11% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.40/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.31
+7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
16.6 Crosses 17.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Quevilly
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.83 xG 1.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
373 Passes 292
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2023 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 HT 0-1 Angers Angers FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angers
3-2
AWAY Quevilly
1.89 xG 0.81
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
444 Passes 298
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Angers vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angers squeezed past Quevilly 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Angers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Angers had 57% of the ball to Quevilly's 43%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.89 to 0.81.

What was the final score of Angers vs Quevilly?

Angers 3-2 Quevilly in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angers vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Angers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Angers 45%, draw 27%, Quevilly 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Angers), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Angers) ✓ BTTS Yes
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