Dunkerque 2-0 Ajaccio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Jan 2024

Dunkerque
2-0 HT 1-0
Ajaccio
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Dunkerque vs Ajaccio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
16%
7.61
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.07
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
11%
4.89
X/2
13%
5.4
X/X
15%
3.05
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
21%
4.66
2/X
8%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
33%
-3.0pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.2pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dunkerque v Ajaccio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 34%
-18% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
0.93/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.21
-43% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
20.5 Crosses 15.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Dunkerque vs Ajaccio Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunkerque
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Ajaccio
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.98 xG 1.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
269 Passes 345
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-2 HT 0-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
19.04.2022 Ajaccio Ajaccio 2-1 HT 2-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
20.11.2021 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-1 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
23.01.2021 Dunkerque Dunkerque 3-1 HT 2-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
30.09.2020 Ajaccio Ajaccio 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2

Dunkerque 2-0 Ajaccio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunkerque
2-0
AWAY Ajaccio
0.40 xG 0.76
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
339 Passes 367
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
8 Box Touches 8
9 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dunkerque vs Ajaccio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque got the better of Ajaccio 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Dunkerque found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dunkerque had 48% of the ball to Ajaccio's 52%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.40 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ajaccio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Dunkerque and 1.40 for Ajaccio.

What was the final score of Dunkerque vs Ajaccio?

Dunkerque 2-0 Ajaccio in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunkerque vs Ajaccio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajaccio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dunkerque 31%, draw 30%, Ajaccio 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ajaccio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajaccio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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