Stade Lavallois 1-1 Paris FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
13%
5.7
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.28
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
15%
4.46
X/2
10%
6.29
X/X
14%
3.5
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
15%
5.31
2/X
9%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.6pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Lavallois EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.27/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.07
-6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
22.3 Crosses 15.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Lavallois
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Paris FC
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.87 xG 1.05
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
330 Passes 458
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.09.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
11.03.2023 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 1-2 HT 1-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
22.10.2022 Paris FC Paris FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
13.05.2016 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois 3-1 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
31.07.2015 Paris FC Paris FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Stade Lavallois Stade Lavallois FR2
POST-MATCH Stade Lavallois vs Paris FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Lavallois and Paris FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stade Lavallois had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Stade Lavallois and 0.80 for Paris FC.

What was the final score of Stade Lavallois vs Paris FC?

Stade Lavallois 1-1 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Lavallois vs Paris FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Lavallois win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stade Lavallois 40%, draw 28%, Paris FC 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stade Lavallois), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Lavallois) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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