Boulogne 2-2 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 17 Oct 2025

Boulogne
2-2 HT 0-1
Guingamp
📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Boulogne vs Guingamp Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.6
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
21.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.19
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
8%
5.69
X/2
19%
5.28
X/X
12%
4.15
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
14%
3.73
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
35%
-7.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boulogne v Guingamp — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boulogne EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 40%
-17% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
0.45/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.24
-58% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.0 Crosses 17.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Boulogne vs Guingamp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boulogne
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Guingamp
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
17.02.2012 Guingamp Guingamp 1-1 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR2
20.09.2011 Boulogne Boulogne 2-0 HT 2-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
09.02.2010 Boulogne Boulogne 1-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FRK
16.01.2009 Guingamp Guingamp 3-0 HT 1-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR2
08.08.2008 Boulogne Boulogne 2-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
25.01.2008 Boulogne Boulogne 0-2 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2

Boulogne 2-2 Guingamp — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boulogne
2-2
AWAY Guingamp
0.94 xG 1.07
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
325 Passes 469
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boulogne vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boulogne and Guingamp shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Guingamp at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Boulogne had 43% of the ball to Guingamp's 57%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.94 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boulogne had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boulogne and 1.00 for Guingamp.

What was the final score of Boulogne vs Guingamp?

Boulogne 2-2 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boulogne vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 28%, draw 31%, Guingamp 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guingamp), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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