Viktoria Plzen 1-1 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.38
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.95
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
29%
2.73
6+ Goals
16%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.7pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.6pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
2.00/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.01
+0% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.34 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
244 Passes 229
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 32
25 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.12.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-3 HT 1-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
01.04.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
08.10.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
20.04.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-2 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
27.10.2021 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEKK
25.07.2021 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-1 HT 2-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
1-1
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
0.12 xG 1.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
290 Passes 232
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen and Mlada Boleslav shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Viktoria Plzen at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 54% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 46%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.12 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 0.67 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav?

Viktoria Plzen 1-1 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 58%, draw 20%, Mlada Boleslav 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viktoria Plzen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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