Bath City 1-0 Dartford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 29% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bath City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Dartford EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -15%
1.84/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.41
+9% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bath City
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Dartford
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 Dartford Dartford 3-3 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
10.12.2022 Dartford Dartford 0-0 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
06.08.2022 Bath City Bath City 0-2 HT 0-0 Dartford Dartford İCON
19.02.2022 Dartford Dartford 2-0 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
27.11.2021 Bath City Bath City 0-0 HT 0-0 Dartford Dartford FAK
04.09.2021 Bath City Bath City 1-3 HT 0-2 Dartford Dartford İCON
POST-MATCH Bath City vs Dartford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bath City nicked a narrow win over Dartford 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bath City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dartford led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bath City and 1.67 for Dartford.

What was the final score of Bath City vs Dartford?

Bath City 1-0 Dartford in the England - Conference on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bath City vs Dartford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bath City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bath City 46%, draw 25%, Dartford 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bath City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bath City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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