Chelmsford City 1-0 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 27% vs market 22.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.47/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.46
-13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Weymouth
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 0-3 HT 0-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
21.01.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 1-2 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
20.08.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 3-1 HT 2-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
30.09.2017 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-1 HT 0-0 Weymouth Weymouth FAK
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City squeezed past Weymouth 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chelmsford City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chelmsford City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Chelmsford City and 0.75 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Weymouth?

Chelmsford City 1-0 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 46%, draw 27%, Weymouth 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelmsford City), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✓ Under 2.5
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