Darlington 1883 0-2 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.17
6+ Goals
8%
20.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 33% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.20/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.57
-8% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darlington 1883
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Alfreton Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-3 HT 0-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
04.03.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
19.11.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 4-1 HT 3-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town FAK
08.11.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 3-1 HT 2-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
09.04.2022 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
28.08.2021 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 2-3 HT 0-2 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darlington 1883
0-2
AWAY Alfreton Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Darlington 1883 vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town beat Darlington 1883 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alfreton Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Darlington 1883 had 54% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 46%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darlington 1883 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Darlington 1883 and 1.50 for Alfreton Town.

What was the final score of Darlington 1883 vs Alfreton Town?

Darlington 1883 0-2 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darlington 1883 vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Darlington 1883 33%, draw 25%, Alfreton Town 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfreton Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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