Ilkeston Town 2-3 Lancaster City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Feb 2024

Ilkeston Town
2-3
Lancaster City
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Ilkeston Town vs Lancaster City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+7.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ilkeston Town v Lancaster City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.59/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.33
+0% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
367 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.1

Ilkeston Town vs Lancaster City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lancaster City
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 0-4 HT 0-2 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lancaster City nicked a narrow win over Ilkeston Town 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Lancaster City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Lancaster City?

Ilkeston Town 2-3 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Lancaster City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lancaster City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 36%, draw 24%, Lancaster City 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lancaster City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lancaster City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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