Hastings United 1-3 Lewes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
14%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.7pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.5pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hastings United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lewes EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hastings United vs Lewes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lewes saw off Hastings United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hastings United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Hastings United vs Lewes?

Hastings United 1-3 Lewes in the England - Non League Premier on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hastings United vs Lewes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hastings United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hastings United 45%, draw 20%, Lewes 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hastings United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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