Berkhamsted 2-3 Needham Market — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
6.35
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
55%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
13%
+7.0pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.7pp
55%
Away Win
68%
-12.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.6pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Berkhamsted EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Needham Market EU Bookmakers 72%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
0.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-51% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
223 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Berkhamsted
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Needham Market
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
07.11.2023 Needham Market Needham Market 3-0 HT 1-0 Berkhamsted İNGNLP
30.09.2023 Needham Market Needham Market 0-0 Berkhamsted İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Berkhamsted vs Needham Market
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Needham Market edged past Berkhamsted 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Needham Market as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Needham Market led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Berkhamsted and 1.50 for Needham Market.

What was the final score of Berkhamsted vs Needham Market?

Berkhamsted 2-3 Needham Market in the England - Non League Premier on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Berkhamsted vs Needham Market?

Before kick-off our model rated an Needham Market win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Berkhamsted 20%, draw 25%, Needham Market 55%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Needham Market) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Needham Market) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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