Amorebieta 1-0 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
5.92
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.18
1/2
13%
34.0
1/X
9%
15.55
X/1
7%
7.0
X/2
11%
4.12
X/X
16%
3.45
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
21%
2.94
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.1pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.6pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.96/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.89
+0% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.3 Crosses 20.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amorebieta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Elche
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.66 xG 0.84
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
243 Passes 443
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Elche Elche 2-0 HT 0-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amorebieta
1-0
AWAY Elche
1.12 xG 1.57
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
178 Passes 548
68% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 29
POST-MATCH Amorebieta vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amorebieta nicked a narrow win over Elche 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Elche at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Amorebieta had 29% of the ball to Elche's 71%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 1.12 to 1.57 — the balance of chances actually favoured Elche.

What was the final score of Amorebieta vs Elche?

Amorebieta 1-0 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 25%, draw 31%, Elche 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Elche) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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