Sporting Gijon 1-0 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 10 Feb 2024

Sporting Gijon
1-0 HT 1-0
Real Oviedo
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Sporting Gijon vs Real Oviedo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
6.03
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.44
1/2
10%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
11%
5.41
X/2
12%
4.89
X/X
17%
3.38
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
13%
3.86
2/X
8%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Gijon v Real Oviedo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.17/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.04
+17% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.2 Crosses 19.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Sporting Gijon vs Real Oviedo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Real Oviedo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.05 xG 0.65
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
337 Passes 226
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.09.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
13.05.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
17.12.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
16.04.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
09.10.2021 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
17.04.2021 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2

Sporting Gijon 1-0 Real Oviedo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
1-0
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.47 xG 0.71
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
255 Passes 407
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 38
14 Crosses 39
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon nicked a narrow win over Real Oviedo 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Sporting Gijon made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 40% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 60%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.47 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sporting Gijon and 0.83 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Real Oviedo?

Sporting Gijon 1-0 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 34%, draw 32%, Real Oviedo 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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