Alcoyano 2-3 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Over 2.5
32%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
13%
6.87
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
69%
-0.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
31%
+0.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.3pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.14/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.82
-9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcoyano
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Real Murcia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
20.05.2023 Alcoyano Alcoyano 1-2 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
04.12.2022 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-0 HT 1-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
18.08.2018 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-0 HT 0-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano HAZ
05.08.2017 Alcoyano Alcoyano 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia HAZ
16.05.2012 Alcoyano Alcoyano 1-3 HT 1-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcoyano
2-3
AWAY Real Murcia
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alcoyano vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia nicked a narrow win over Alcoyano 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Real Murcia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alcoyano had 52% of the ball to Real Murcia's 48%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Murcia led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Alcoyano and 1.33 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Alcoyano vs Real Murcia?

Alcoyano 2-3 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcoyano vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcoyano win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alcoyano 40%, draw 28%, Real Murcia 32%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alcoyano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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