Guijuelo 1-2 Pontevedra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.4pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 46%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.99/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.80
-5% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
165 · 57% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 59%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guijuelo
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Pontevedra
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Pontevedra Pontevedra 5-0 HT 3-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
28.03.2021 Guijuelo Guijuelo 2-1 HT 1-0 Pontevedra Pontevedra İS3
10.02.2021 Pontevedra Pontevedra 0-0 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guijuelo
1-2
AWAY Pontevedra
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Guijuelo vs Pontevedra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra squeezed past Guijuelo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pontevedra as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guijuelo had 51% of the ball to Pontevedra's 49%, shots finished 14-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Guijuelo and 2.00 for Pontevedra.

What was the final score of Guijuelo vs Pontevedra?

Guijuelo 1-2 Pontevedra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guijuelo vs Pontevedra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Guijuelo 30%, draw 26%, Pontevedra 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontevedra) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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