Real Valladolid II 1-1 Rayo Cantabria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 36%
-14% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +0%
1.14/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.19
-4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Valladolid II
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 4-0 HT 1-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
08.04.2023 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 1-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
27.11.2022 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 1-2 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Valladolid II
1-1
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
73% Ball Possession 27%
24 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Valladolid II vs Rayo Cantabria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Valladolid II and Rayo Cantabria couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Valladolid II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Real Valladolid II had 73% of the ball to Rayo Cantabria's 27%, shots finished 24-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Valladolid II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Valladolid II and 1.67 for Rayo Cantabria.

What was the final score of Real Valladolid II vs Rayo Cantabria?

Real Valladolid II 1-1 Rayo Cantabria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Valladolid II vs Rayo Cantabria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Valladolid II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Valladolid II 43%, draw 27%, Rayo Cantabria 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Valladolid II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Valladolid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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