Stade Ouchy 1-1 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 25% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.26
1/2
7%
23.3
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
9%
8.39
X/2
21%
4.18
X/X
13%
4.89
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
14%
2.36
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-8.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 56%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.07/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.82
-33% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
15.0 Crosses 19.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.64 xG 1.52
52% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
317 Passes 288
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV
21.10.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-2 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
16.04.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 2-1 HT 1-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
29.01.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-4 HT 1-2 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV2
08.10.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-1 HT 1-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV2
07.08.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
1-1
AWAY Lausanne Sports
0.69 xG 1.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
268 Passes 284
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 28
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Lausanne Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy and Lausanne Sports couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lausanne Sports at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 51% of the ball to Lausanne Sports's 49%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.69 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lausanne Sports led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stade Ouchy and 1.67 for Lausanne Sports.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Lausanne Sports?

Stade Ouchy 1-1 Lausanne Sports in the Switzerland - Super League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 30%, draw 27%, Lausanne Sports 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lausanne Sports) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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