Argentino Merlo 1-2 Acassuso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Primier B Metropol, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
41%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.4pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentino Merlo The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Acassuso The Market 36%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.77
-2% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Argentino Merlo vs Acassuso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Acassuso squeezed past Argentino Merlo 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Argentino Merlo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Argentino Merlo vs Acassuso?

Argentino Merlo 1-2 Acassuso in the Argentina - Primier B Metropol on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentino Merlo vs Acassuso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Argentino Merlo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Argentino Merlo 45%, draw 24%, Acassuso 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Argentino Merlo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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