Villa San Carlos 3-1 UAI Urquiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Primier B Metropol, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
42%
4-5
18%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
27%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villa San Carlos The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY UAI Urquiza The Market 31%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.23/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.59
+10% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villa San Carlos
1W-2D-0L
AWAY UAI Urquiza
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
06.11.2015 UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza 0-0 HT 0-0 Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos ARJPBM
20.06.2015 Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos 1-0 HT 0-0 UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza ARJPBM
01.11.2014 UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza 1-1 HT 1-0 Villa San Carlos Villa San Carlos ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Villa San Carlos vs UAI Urquiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villa San Carlos beat UAI Urquiza 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Villa San Carlos as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Villa San Carlos had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Villa San Carlos and 0.33 for UAI Urquiza.

What was the final score of Villa San Carlos vs UAI Urquiza?

Villa San Carlos 3-1 UAI Urquiza in the Argentina - Primier B Metropol on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villa San Carlos vs UAI Urquiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villa San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Villa San Carlos 42%, draw 26%, UAI Urquiza 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villa San Carlos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Villa San Carlos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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