Lemense 1-3 Desportivo Brasil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A3, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
36%
4-5
35%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lemense The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Desportivo Brasil The Market 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
226 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Lemense vs Desportivo Brasil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Desportivo Brasil beat Lemense 3-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Desportivo Brasil made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Lemense vs Desportivo Brasil?

Lemense 1-3 Desportivo Brasil in the Brazil - Paulista A3 on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lemense vs Desportivo Brasil?

Before kick-off our model rated an Desportivo Brasil win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lemense 34%, draw 29%, Desportivo Brasil 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Desportivo Brasil), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Desportivo Brasil) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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