10/02/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Kosta Rika vs Coxim MS Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No Pick
56%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
47%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
53%
Home Win
51%
28%
Draw
26%
19%
Away Win
23%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kosta Rika v Coxim MS — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kosta Rika
The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Coxim MS
The Market 26%
-21% /
-21%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+6%
/
+21%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
5
327 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
311 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Kosta Rika vs Coxim MS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Coxim MS edged past Kosta Rika 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Kosta Rika at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Kosta Rika vs Coxim MS?
Kosta Rika 0-1 Coxim MS in the Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kosta Rika vs Coxim MS?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kosta Rika win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kosta Rika 53%, draw 28%, Coxim MS 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kosta Rika) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Kosta Rika)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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BRSMAT
More Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense
10 Feb 2024