Portuguesa MS 1-1 Operario MS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
43%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
45%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa MS The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario MS The Market 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Portuguesa MS vs Operario MS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portuguesa MS and Operario MS shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Operario MS at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Portuguesa MS vs Operario MS?

Portuguesa MS 1-1 Operario MS in the Brazil - Sul-Matogrossense on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa MS vs Operario MS?

Before kick-off our model rated an Operario MS win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa MS 33%, draw 24%, Operario MS 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Operario MS), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Operario MS) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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